Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 7.892810 9.274673 10.789961 12.569898 14.598202 16.832169 19.473322
2025-11-30 5.722739 7.624090 9.935031 12.925208 16.663707 21.153282 26.919181
2025-12-07 4.506457 6.638056 9.447389 13.361978 18.606860 25.314824 34.452813
2025-12-14 3.475516 5.599370 8.605100 13.069005 19.408881 27.950480 40.157376
2025-12-21 2.724554 4.766310 7.848653 12.693458 19.933857 30.135114 45.318169
2025-12-28 2.391813 4.485652 7.821718 13.315233 21.870219 34.361556 53.558042
2026-01-04 2.087001 4.182245 7.694595 13.734086 23.501186 38.231194 61.528183
2026-01-11 1.775623 3.801638 7.372744 13.777504 24.518362 41.223273 68.369871
2026-01-18 1.519803 3.469178 7.074435 13.803168 25.476677 44.156317 75.276189
2026-01-25 1.261142 3.076714 6.604508 13.459969 25.764617 46.018388 80.597041
2026-02-01 1.051664 2.739893 6.182429 13.137884 26.033365 47.833797 85.917175
2026-02-08 0.858521 2.395152 5.688259 12.610601 25.870017 48.889860 90.026916
2026-02-15 0.679495 2.051242 5.162072 11.998458 25.575388 49.845238 94.302885
2026-02-22 0.608752 1.958822 5.162168 12.453206 27.347573 54.581031 105.424892
2026-03-01 0.546042 1.871456 5.158479 12.897971 29.141441 59.486212 117.164994
2026-03-08 0.450118 1.664540 4.839090 12.617800 29.465234 61.728399 124.330172
2026-03-15 0.367084 1.468431 4.506141 12.254229 29.568964 63.548301 130.825094
2026-03-22 0.339879 1.439176 4.589908 12.857560 31.743127 69.441394 145.131581
2026-03-29 0.307403 1.382696 4.591525 13.263990 33.528164 74.691337 158.526706
2026-04-05 0.266086 1.281602 4.452115 13.306125 34.516099 78.430594 169.268049
2026-04-12 0.230156 1.187591 4.314132 13.331030 35.462148 82.138927 180.145284
2026-04-19 0.189976 1.060804 4.052792 12.998020 35.552209 84.099486 187.717078
2026-04-26 0.156920 0.949226 3.813202 12.685530 35.652549 86.075298 195.412515